The post Bitcoin Price Prediction: How Low Can BTC Go in a Recession? appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News
Bitcoin BTC Price News Today: Bitcoin is under serious pressure as global recession fears, high interest rates, and escalating tariff tensions continue to shake investor confidence. While crypto market interest remains steady, BTC is struggling to break out, hovering just below the key $85,000 level.
As of writing, Bitcoin trades around $84,596, down slightly in the last 24 hours and nearly 22% off its all-time high of over $109,000 set earlier this year. The momentum appears to be fading, prompting analysts to ask: Is another crash coming?
Bitcoin Price Drop Reasons: Global Recession, High Interest Rates, and Deflation Fears
In a recent Altcoin Daily podcast, Bloomberg Intelligence’s Mike McGlone, trader Scott Melker, and market expert Gareth Soloway discussed Bitcoin’s future and issued a chilling warning.
Bloomberg Intelligence, senior commodity strategist Mike McGlone, warned that Bitcoin could crash to $10,000 if macroeconomic conditions worsen, specifically, if the S&P 500 sees a sharp correction down to 4,000 points.
Deflation Fears Rise as Bitcoin and Stocks Decouple
Bloomberg’s Mike McGlone says the global economy is showing signs of deflation, with key indicators flashing red. The U.S. stock market is now far above GDP levels, and the S&P 500 is moving out of sync with global markets. Similar patterns were seen before the big crashes in the US and Japan from 1929 and 1989. Slow growth, weaker trade due to tariffs, and falling prices in oil and Chinese bonds are all adding to the pressure.
At the same time, Bitcoin is no longer moving with stocks and other risk assets like it used to. While gold is climbing, both Bitcoin and equities are struggling. Investors are realizing that crypto ETFs act more like high-risk assets than safe havens. A spike in the gold-to-silver ratio above 100, often seen before recessions, is adding to the cautious mood.
.article-inside-link {
margin-left: 0 !important;
border: 1px solid #0052CC4D;
border-left: 0;
border-right: 0;
padding: 10px 0;
text-align: left;
}
.entry ul.article-inside-link li {
font-size: 14px;
line-height: 21px;
font-weight: 600;
list-style-type: none;
margin-bottom: 0;
display: inline-block;
}
.entry ul.article-inside-link li:last-child {
display: none;
}
- Also Read :
- $69K Is the Key, Cowen Maps Out Bitcoin’s Next Big Move
- ,
How Low Can Bitcoin Price Go?
McGlone explains that if the S&P drops to 4,000, historical correlations and market profiles indicate Bitcoin could revert to pre-pandemic average levels, around $10,000. This aligns with Bitcoin’s 200-week exponential moving average and long-term fair value zones. He also references Bloomberg’s proprietary Bitcoin driver index, suggesting current fundamentals point to a sub-$17K valuation.
Bitcoin Price Crash Unlikely Unless $69K Breaks
Altcoin Daily analyst, however, provides a more hopeful view. While acknowledging the risk of a return to $20K in a severe recession, they argue that Bitcoin has shown resilience during recent corrections. It didn’t retest old highs despite a 10% drop in the S&P.
With global liquidity now at an all-time high, thanks to rate cuts and QE outside the U.S., the odds of a massive collapse seem lower. Unless Bitcoin breaks below $69K convincingly, the analyst believes new lows are unlikely.
.article_register_shortcode {
padding: 18px 24px;
border-radius: 8px;
display: flex;
align-items: center;
margin: 6px 0 22px;
border: 1px solid #0052CC4D;
background: linear-gradient(90deg, rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.1) 0%, rgba(0, 82, 204, 0.1) 100%);
}
.article_register_shortcode .media-body h5 {
color: #000000;
font-weight: 600;
font-size: 20px;
line-height: 22px;
text-align:left;
}
.article_register_shortcode .media-body h5 span {
color: #0052CC;
}
.article_register_shortcode .media-body p {
font-weight: 400;
font-size: 14px;
line-height: 22px;
color: #171717B2;
margin-top: 4px;
text-align:left;
}
.article_register_shortcode .media-body{
padding-right: 14px;
}
.article_register_shortcode .media-button a {
float: right;
}
.article_register_shortcode .primary-button img{
vertical-align: middle;
width: 20px;
margin: 0;
display: inline-block;
}
@media (min-width: 581px) and (max-width: 991px) {
.article_register_shortcode .media-body p {
margin-bottom: 0;
}
}
@media (max-width: 580px) {
.article_register_shortcode {
display: block;
padding: 20px;
}
.article_register_shortcode img {
max-width: 50px;
}
.article_register_shortcode .media-body h5 {
font-size: 16px;
}
.article_register_shortcode .media-body {
margin-left: 0px;
}
.article_register_shortcode .media-body p {
font-size: 13px;
line-height: 20px;
margin-top: 6px;
margin-bottom: 14px;
}
.article_register_shortcode .media-button a {
float: unset;
}
.article_register_shortcode .secondary-button {
margin-bottom: 0;
}
}
Never Miss a Beat in the Crypto World!
Stay ahead with breaking news, expert analysis, and real-time updates on the latest trends in Bitcoin, altcoins, DeFi, NFTs, and more.
.subscription-options li {
display: none;
}
.research-report-subscribe{
background-color: #0052CC;
padding: 12px 20px;
border-radius: 8px;
color: #fff;
font-weight: 500;
font-size: 14px;
width: 96%;
}
.research-report-subscribe img{
vertical-align: sub;
margin-right: 2px;
}
var templateIds = “6”;
var listOfSubscribed = [];
function subscribed_popupmodal(template_id) {
var templateId = ‘6’;
getAllSubscriberCategoryList([templateId]);
var subcribemodal = window.parent.document.getElementById(‘subscribe-modal-design’);
if (subcribemodal) {
var modalContent = `
Never Miss a Beat in the Crypto World!
Stay informed and gain the edge you need to navigate the crypto world. Select your subscription now
`;
subcribemodal.innerHTML = modalContent;
}
subscribe_unsubscribe_status(template_id);
//getAllSubscriberCategoryList(template_id);
}
function toggleSubscription(subscription, template_id) {
var subscriptionCheckbox = document.getElementById(subscription + ‘_’ + template_id);
var li = document.getElementById(subscription + ‘Selected_’ + template_id);
if (subscriptionCheckbox.checked) {
li.classList.add(‘active’);
} else {
li.classList.remove(‘active’);
}
}
function getAllSubscriberCategoryList(getcategoryId) {
jQuery.ajax({
url: ‘https://coinpedia.org/wp-admin/admin-ajax.php’,
type: ‘GET’,
data: {
action: ‘subscribe_api_ajax_request’,
apiurl: ‘/app/email_newsletter/list’,
},
success: function(response) {
var result = JSON.parse(response.message);
if (result.status === true) {
var idstosubscribed = []
// Populate listOfSubscribed with subscribed category IDs
result.message.forEach(listofcategory => {
if (listofcategory.subscribe_status === 1) {
if (!listOfSubscribed.includes(listofcategory._id)) {
listOfSubscribed.push(listofcategory._id);
}
if (!idstosubscribed.includes(listofcategory.news_cp_category_row_id)) {
idstosubscribed.push(listofcategory.news_cp_category_row_id);
}
}
});
idstosubscribed.forEach(id => {
var subscribeButton = document.getElementById(‘subscribe_’ + id);
var unsubscribeButton = document.getElementById(‘unsubscribe_’ + id);
if (subscribeButton && unsubscribeButton) {
subscribeButton.style.display = ‘none’;
unsubscribeButton.style.display = ‘block’;
var showDownloadReport = document.getElementById(‘download_report’);
if (showDownloadReport) {
showDownloadReport.style.display = ‘block’;
}
}
});
}
},
error: function(xhr, status, error) {
console.error(‘Error:’, error);
}
});
}
function subscribe_unsubscribe_status(getcategoryId) {
var elementTounsubscribe = parent.document.getElementById(‘unsubscribe_’ + getcategoryId);
var elementTosubscribe = parent.document.getElementById(‘subscribe_’ + getcategoryId);
jQuery.ajax({
url: ‘https://coinpedia.org/wp-admin/admin-ajax.php’,
type: ‘POST’,
data: {
action: ‘subscribe_api_ajax_request’,
apiurl: ‘/app/email_newsletter/list?category_row_id=’ + getcategoryId,
},
success: function(response) {
var result = JSON.parse(response.message);
if (result.status === true) {
parent.jQuery(‘.skeliton-loader-block’).hide();
var hasSubscribeStatusOne = false;
result.message.forEach(subscribeStatus => {
if (listOfSubscribed.includes(subscribeStatus._id) && subscribeStatus.subscribe_status === 1) {
hasSubscribeStatusOne = true;
}
if (subscribeStatus.notification_type === 3) {
parent.document.getElementById(‘monthlySelected_’ + getcategoryId).style.display = ‘block’;
parent.document.getElementById(‘monthly_’ + getcategoryId).setAttribute(‘data-id’, subscribeStatus._id);
if (subscribeStatus.subscribe_status === 1) {
parent.document.getElementById(‘monthly_’ + getcategoryId).checked = true;
}
} else if (subscribeStatus.notification_type === 2) {
parent.document.getElementById(‘weeklySelected_’ + getcategoryId).style.display = ‘block’;
parent.document.getElementById(‘weekly_’ + getcategoryId).setAttribute(‘data-id’, subscribeStatus._id);
if (subscribeStatus.subscribe_status === 1) {
parent.document.getElementById(‘weekly_’ + getcategoryId).checked = true;
}
} else if (subscribeStatus.notification_type === 1) {
parent.document.getElementById(‘dailySelected_’ + getcategoryId).style.display = ‘block’;
parent.document.getElementById(‘daily_’ + getcategoryId).setAttribute(‘data-id’, subscribeStatus._id);
if (subscribeStatus.subscribe_status === 1) {
parent.document.getElementById(‘daily_’ + getcategoryId).checked = true;
}
}
if (subscribeStatus.subscribe_status === 1) {
listOfSubscribed.push(subscribeStatus._id);
}
});
if (hasSubscribeStatusOne) {
elementTosubscribe.style.display = ‘none’;
elementTounsubscribe.style.display = ‘block’;
} else {
elementTosubscribe.style.display = ‘block’;
elementTounsubscribe.style.display = ‘none’;
}
}
},
error: function(xhr, status, error) {
console.error(‘Error:’, error);
}
});
}
function logSelectedSubscriptions(categoryid) {
var unsubscribemodal = document.querySelector(‘.unsubscribed-popup-modal .modal’);
var subscribedmodal = document.querySelector(‘.subscribed-popup-modal .modal’);
unsubscribemodal.innerHTML=”;
subscribedmodal.innerHTML=”;
var selectedSubscriptions = [];
var storeCheckedId = [];
var checkboxes = document.querySelectorAll(‘#subscription-options-‘ + categoryid + ‘ input[type=”checkbox”]’);
var errorMessage = document.getElementById(‘error-message-select’);
// Use a Set to handle unique data-ids
var uniqueSubscribedIds = new Set(listOfSubscribed);
checkboxes.forEach(function(checkbox) {
var dataId = parseInt(checkbox.getAttribute(‘data-id’));
if (checkbox.checked) {
selectedSubscriptions.push(checkbox.id);
storeCheckedId.push(dataId);
} else {
uniqueSubscribedIds.delete(dataId); // Remove unchecked data-id
}
});
// Update listOfSubscribed with unique values
listOfSubscribed = Array.from(uniqueSubscribedIds);
var selectedSubscriptionsString = selectedSubscriptions.join(‘, ‘);
var concatinateSubscribeId = […new Set(storeCheckedId.concat(listOfSubscribed))];
var categoryData = {
‘subscribed_categories’: concatinateSubscribeId
};
var requestSubscriberData = {
action: ‘handle_dynamic_api_request_with_headers’,
security: ’68d229bf5d’,
endpoint: ‘/app/email_newsletter/update_categories’,
token: ”,
data: categoryData
};
jQuery.ajax({
url: ‘https://coinpedia.org/wp-admin/admin-ajax.php’,
type: ‘POST’,
data: requestSubscriberData,
beforeSend: function(xhr) {
xhr.setRequestHeader(‘X-Requested-With’, ‘XMLHttpRequest’);
},
success: function(response) {
try {
response = response.data;
if (storeCheckedId.length === 0) {
var unsubcribedPopUpmodal =
`
You’ve Unsubscribed Successfully
We’re sorry to see you go! Your subscription has been canceled. If you change your mind, you can re-subscribe anytime. Thank you for being part of our community!
`;
unsubscribemodal.innerHTML = unsubcribedPopUpmodal;
document.querySelector(‘#subscribe-modal-design .modal’).style.display = ‘none’;
unsubscribemodal.style.display = ‘block’;
unsubscribemodal.classList.remove(‘hide’);
unsubscribemodal.classList.add(‘show’);
document.getElementById(‘subscribe_’ + categoryid).style.display = ‘block’;
document.getElementById(‘unsubscribe_’ + categoryid).style.display = ‘none’;
var showDownloadReport = document.getElementById(‘download_report’);
if (showDownloadReport) {
showDownloadReport.style.display = ‘none’;
}
} else {
var subscribedPopupModal =
`
Thank you for subscribing!
Thank you for subscribing to our crypto and blockchain newsletter! You’ll now receive the latest news, insights, and updates straight to your inbox. Welcome to our community!
`;
let selectedSubscriptionsArray = selectedSubscriptionsString.split(‘,’);
let subscribedCategories = selectedSubscriptionsArray.map(subscription => subscription.split(‘_’)[0]);
let subscribedCategoriesString = subscribedCategories.join(‘, ‘);
subscribedmodal.innerHTML = subscribedPopupModal;
if (document.getElementById(‘selectidname’)) {
document.getElementById(‘selectidname’).textContent = subscribedCategoriesString;
}
document.querySelector(‘#subscribe-modal-design .modal’).style.display = ‘none’;
subscribedmodal.style.display = ‘block’;
subscribedmodal.classList.remove(‘hide’);
subscribedmodal.classList.add(‘show’);
document.getElementById(‘subscribe_’ + categoryid).style.display = ‘none’;
document.getElementById(‘unsubscribe_’ + categoryid).style.display = ‘block’;
var showDownloadReport = document.getElementById(‘download_report’);
if (showDownloadReport) {
showDownloadReport.style.display = ‘block’;
}
}
} catch (e) {
console.error(‘Error parsing response:’, e);
}
},
});
}
function closeModal(template_id) {
var modalId = template_id;
var modal = document.querySelector(‘#’ + modalId); // Using querySelector to find the modal
if (modal) {
modal.classList.add(‘hide’);
modal.classList.remove(‘show’);
setTimeout(function() {
modal.style.display = ‘none’;
}, 500);
} else {
console.warn(‘Modal not found:’, modalId);
}
}
function closeunsubscribemodal() {
var unsubscribemodal = document.querySelector(‘.unsubscribed-popup-modal .modal’);
if (unsubscribemodal) {
unsubscribemodal.classList.add(‘hide’);
unsubscribemodal.classList.remove(‘show’);
}
setTimeout(function() {
unsubscribemodal.style.display = ‘none’;
}, 500);
}
function closesubscribemodal() {
var subscribedmodal = document.querySelector(‘.subscribed-popup-modal .modal’);
setTimeout(function() {
subscribedmodal.style.display = ‘none’;
}, 500);
if (subscribedmodal) {
subscribedmodal.classList.add(‘hide’);
subscribedmodal.classList.remove(‘show’);
}
}
function withoutLoginClicked(withoutlogin_id) {
localStorage.setItem(‘subscribe_without_Login’, ‘true’);
localStorage.setItem(‘subscribe_clicked_id’, withoutlogin_id);
}
document.addEventListener(‘DOMContentLoaded’, function() {
const subscribewithoutData = localStorage.getItem(‘subscribe_without_Login’);
const subscribe_clicked_cat_id = localStorage.getItem(‘subscribe_clicked_id’);
// Function to get cookies
function getCookie(name) {
let value = “; ” + document.cookie;
let parts = value.split(“; ” + name + “=”);
if (parts.length == 2) return parts.pop().split(“;”).shift();
}
// Get user token from cookies
const userToken = getCookie(‘user_token’);
if (subscribewithoutData === ‘true’ && userToken) {
// Call the modal function with the category ID
subscribed_popupmodal(subscribe_clicked_cat_id);
// Remove the flag and category ID from localStorage
localStorage.removeItem(‘subscribe_without_Login’);
localStorage.removeItem(‘subscribe_clicked_id’);
}
});
/************************** update susbcriber content **************************** */
function initializeSubscriptionButton() {
var initialListItems = document.querySelectorAll(‘.subscription-options input[type=”checkbox”]’);
initialListItems.forEach(function(item) {
console.log(item.checked, ‘Initial Checkbox checked status’);
});
var listItems = document.querySelectorAll(‘.subscription-options li’);
if (listItems.length === 0) return;
var anyActive = false;
listItems.forEach(function(item) {
var checkbox = item.querySelector(‘input[type=”checkbox”]’);
if (checkbox) {
if (checkbox.checked) {
item.classList.add(‘active’);
anyActive = true; // Set anyActive to true
} else {
item.classList.remove(‘active’); // Remove ‘active’ class if checkbox is unchecked
}
}
});
}
function updateButtonText(anyActive) {
var subscribeButtonSpan = document.querySelector(‘.subscribe-submit .changeBtnText’);
if (subscribeButtonSpan) {
if (anyActive) {
subscribeButtonSpan.textContent=”Subscribe Now”;
} else {
subscribeButtonSpan.textContent=”Unsubscribe”;
}
}
}
function updateSubscriptionButton() {
var listItems = document.querySelectorAll(‘.subscription-options li’);
if (listItems.length === 0) return;
var anyActive = false;
listItems.forEach(function(item) {
var checkbox = item.querySelector(‘input[type=”checkbox”]’);
if (checkbox) {
if (checkbox.checked) {
item.classList.add(‘active’);
anyActive = true; // Set anyActive to true
} else {
item.classList.remove(‘active’); // Remove ‘active’ class if checkbox is unchecked
}
}
});
// Update the button text based on whether any list item has the ‘active’ class
updateButtonText(anyActive);
}
document.addEventListener(‘click’, function(event) {
var clickedItem = event.target.closest(‘.subscription-options li’);
if (clickedItem) {
var checkbox = clickedItem.querySelector(‘input[type=”checkbox”]’);
if (checkbox) {
checkbox.checked = !checkbox.checked;
updateSubscriptionButton();
}
}
});
FAQs
Bitcoin’s future depends on macroeconomic factors. While volatility remains, its potential growth, especially with inflation fears, makes it a worthy consideration.
There is no verified information about how much Bitcoin Donald Trump owns. He has not publicly disclosed any significant Bitcoin investments.
Investing $500 in Bitcoin today could be worth $1,250-$7,500 by 2030, based on predictions of $200K-$1.5M per BTC. High risk, volatile market.
As per Coinpedia’s BTC price prediction, 1 BTC could peak at $168k this year if the bullish sentiment sustains.
As of now, one Bitcoin is worth approximately $84,925.12.
